Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.124946 0.139042 0.153466 0.169289 0.186120 0.203453 0.222612
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.109955 0.129619 0.150444 0.174016 0.199830 0.227122 0.258041
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.095873 0.119211 0.144713 0.174380 0.207683 0.243668 0.285247
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.086120 0.112496 0.142147 0.177485 0.218001 0.262585 0.314938
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.077039 0.105650 0.138713 0.179023 0.226148 0.278861 0.341651
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.068491 0.098648 0.134463 0.179096 0.232241 0.292595 0.365426
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.061660 0.093132 0.131492 0.180279 0.239346 0.307337 0.390326
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.054789 0.086963 0.127239 0.179516 0.243848 0.318869 0.411439
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.050664 0.084000 0.126706 0.183097 0.253436 0.336340 0.439535
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.045907 0.079777 0.124241 0.184009 0.259593 0.349635 0.462695
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.041434 0.075557 0.121474 0.184288 0.264789 0.361672 0.484326
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.036976 0.070970 0.117907 0.183274 0.268175 0.371389 0.503114
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.033566 0.067778 0.116216 0.184831 0.275069 0.385799 0.528160
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.031382 0.066254 0.116708 0.189213 0.285564 0.404705 0.558804
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.028073 0.062653 0.114032 0.189149 0.290207 0.416291 0.580510
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.025926 0.060730 0.113628 0.192092 0.298723 0.432738 0.608273
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.023564 0.058213 0.112185 0.193470 0.305109 0.446479 0.632722
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.021065 0.055197 0.109798 0.193374 0.309433 0.457554 0.653852
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.019083 0.052894 0.108346 0.194490 0.315313 0.470591 0.677461
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.016860 0.049886 0.105604 0.193597 0.318366 0.479935 0.696406
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.015760 0.048926 0.106037 0.197288 0.327665 0.497380 0.725656
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.014225 0.046916 0.104646 0.198195 0.333079 0.509758 0.748495
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.012716 0.044765 0.102888 0.198452 0.337527 0.520842 0.769695